mmttxyz
0x837ce020f1fe8a8796512533a4400fa1b57cefc1
- Realised P&L
- $346.74
- Volume
- $205.0k
- Markets traded
- 348
- Open portfolio
- $287.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded348
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.972 | 0.988 | $287.10 | +$4.58 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 25? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.31at 0.800Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$207.36at 0.560Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August?
- +$175.99at 0.560Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?
- +$156.26at 0.620Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
- +$146.63at 0.560Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9751308596 | $23.00 |
| 10-05 11:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.972 | $259.52 |
| 10-04 23:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9789823322 | $277.05 |
| 10-04 23:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.9530845042 | $278.81 |
| 10-04 10:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9451741112 | $103.00 |
| 10-04 10:29 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.941 | $78.63 |
| 10-04 10:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-04 10:27 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.997 | $140.22 |
| 10-04 10:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.9965829629 | $136.76 |
| 10-01 06:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $129.00 |
| 09-30 16:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9669999946 | $136.00 |
| 09-30 07:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9859999994 | $134.00 |
| 09-30 07:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | SELL | 0.995 | $134.84 |
| 09-29 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September? | BUY | 0.989 | $128.00 |
| 09-29 12:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.996 | $126.65 |