xiaolubambi
0x8370cbeb7b508ef99ac6b7a07a6b1b52a4facd4f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.3k
- Volume
- $359.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,621
- Open portfolio
- $108.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,621
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.690 | 1.000 | $25.15 | +$7.79 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.756 | 0.998 | $10.95 | +$2.65 |
| Oregon vs. USC · Oregon | 0.632 | 0.595 | $10.59 | −$0.66 |
| Arizona vs. Washington State · Arizona | 0.597 | 0.825 | $7.78 | +$2.15 |
| Flames vs. Oilers · Oilers | 0.780 | 0.930 | $5.01 | +$0.81 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres | 0.820 | 0.870 | $4.36 | +$0.25 |
| Houston Dynamo vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.270 | $3.65 | −$2.57 |
| Spread: Oregon (-6.5) · USC | 0.538 | 0.690 | $3.22 | +$0.71 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.975 | $2.97 | +$0.32 |
| Oregon vs. USC · USC | 0.310 | 0.405 | $2.31 | +$0.54 |
| Houston Christian vs. North Texas: O/U 59.5 · Over | 0.590 | 0.996 | $2.18 | +$0.89 |
| Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw? · No | 0.790 | 0.965 | $1.99 | +$0.36 |
| Kansas State vs. Cincinnati · Cincinnati | 0.720 | 0.989 | $1.88 | +$0.51 |
| Arizona vs. Washington State: O/U 47.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.680 | $1.79 | +$0.42 |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics · Houston Astros | 0.830 | 0.865 | $1.76 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$949.63at 0.367Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$827.33at 0.239Cincinnati Open: Diane Parry vs Lois Boisson
- +$786.40at 0.775Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$728.04at 0.299Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
- +$696.46at 0.270Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 02:23 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.8699999606 | $2.65 |
| 09-27 02:21 | Appalachian State vs. NC State: O/U 68.5 | BUY | 0.6099999656 | $1.24 |
| 09-27 02:19 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.8299999853 | $1.69 |
| 09-27 02:16 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.819999984 | $4.11 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.75 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Spread: Oregon (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5499998911 | $1.01 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Spread: Oregon (-7.5) | BUY | 0.6899999295 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Spread: Oregon (-8.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Spread: Oregon (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4899999183 | $1.02 |
| 09-27 02:15 | Spread: Oregon (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.23 |
| 09-27 02:12 | Spread: Utah State (-11.5) | BUY | 0.6599998651 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Arizona vs. Washington State | BUY | 0.5099999069 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Arizona vs. Washington State: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5199998785 | $1.37 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Spread: Arizona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999422 | $1.22 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Arizona vs. Washington State: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.4699999773 | $1.24 |