Alex1988cd2708
0x83702cf327b3e4a85507a5af5a13135e084f82e4
- Realised P&L
- $-632.20
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $3.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.830 | 1.000 | $3.43 | +$0.58 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.86 |
| Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Goiás EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.74 |
| Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.98 |
| Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.06 |
| Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-08? · No | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.24 |
| Argentina vs. Benin: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.39at 0.446Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-08-11?
- +$48.98at 0.020Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-01?
- +$47.88at 0.923CD Tolima vs. Boyacá Chicó FC: O/U 0.5
- +$44.44at 0.961Botafogo FR vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
- +$42.01at 0.115Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-10-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:21 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 22:21 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 22:21 | Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.51 |
| 10-09 00:57 | CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $195.83 |
| 10-09 00:53 | Atlético Nacional vs. CD Tolima: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.83 | $2.85 |
| 10-09 00:42 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? | SELL | 0.89 | $161.64 |
| 10-09 00:32 | Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.4327991467 | $64.92 |
| 10-09 00:15 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? | SELL | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 10-09 00:09 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.245 | $61.25 |
| 10-08 23:53 | CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $213.46 |
| 10-08 23:25 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-08 23:17 | CA Paranaense vs. CA Mineiro: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 23:08 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? | SELL | 0.49 | $90.86 |
| 10-08 23:07 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.5194399642 | $46.38 |
| 10-08 23:06 | Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.06 |