0x83702044766e2dC5E797c8d1DAB20E2e812ab108-1773172923717
0x83702044766e2dc5e797c8d1dab20e2e812ab108
- Realised P&L
- $-106.70
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $12.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.245 | $6.99 | −$5.01 |
| Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.105 | $5.97 | −$4.03 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.0% in April? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.22at 0.360Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
- +$8.71at 0.352Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$7.00at 0.217Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$1.79at 0.560US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.20at 0.730Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 20:16 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 20:05 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 06-01 13:26 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 05-31 10:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.24 |
| 05-31 10:21 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 10:21 | Trump out as President by June 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.18 |
| 05-31 10:19 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.38 |
| 05-31 10:19 | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.29 |
| 05-29 20:11 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 20:11 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 05-29 20:10 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 20:10 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 05-29 20:09 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.432007745 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 20:08 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | SELL | 0.0271117647 | $0.55 |
| 05-29 20:08 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |