0x835991192567d2f4441da0eb47ee0440a6c539fd
- Realised P&L
- $-12.08
- Volume
- $57.32
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-21.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.052 | $1.73 | −$2.27 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.04at 0.993U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
- +$-5.00at 0.710Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 17:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 02:45 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 07:09 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 01-11 07:03 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.9929999988 | $5.00 |