PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D3926f7F3249F4a2bf828c309579060687451dF-1761995919587

0x8356ee1b36253de681ea3358e25bf157ab8861e1

Realised P&L
$-119.09
Volume
$14.8k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$196.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3510.225$57.38−$32.07
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2460.160$52.00−$28.00
Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3270.215$32.25−$16.75
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? · Yes0.7700.490$14.70−$8.40
Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.120$12.00−$9.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? · Yes0.0900.085$8.50−$0.50
Will Solana reach $130 in October? · Yes0.1700.115$6.90−$3.30
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.1600.115$5.75−$2.25
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.100$5.00+$0.50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0600.032$1.60−$1.40
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00−$57.03
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$18.30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$2.56
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00−$182.69
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 12:41Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 12-18?BUY0.16$8.00
10-11 23:25Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?SELL0.005$0.36
10-10 14:56Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?BUY0.029$4.21
09-25 15:45Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
09-23 23:48Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.47$9.40
09-22 13:38Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.227$22.70
07-07 01:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSELL0.12$1.20
07-07 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSELL0.36$3.60
07-07 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.24$2.40
07-02 15:18Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?BUY0.189$18.90
07-02 03:59Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.06$1.20
06-22 01:24Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?SELL0.001$0.14
06-20 07:08Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.34$2.89
06-17 12:33Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?BUY0.09$21.60
06-16 14:37Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?BUY0.14$28.00