0x834FFdFfce376b19ba618cf23A6EDFd04ac88B6e-1775733450913
0x834ffdffce376b19ba618cf23a6edfd04ac88b6e
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $143.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.01at 0.921Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
- +$453.68at 0.581Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$374.35at 0.949Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
- +$361.87at 0.947Will Joe Mazzulla win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
- +$320.00at 0.920Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:42 | Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland | BUY | 0.89 | $8.93 |
| 09-22 02:50 | NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 09-22 02:49 | NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.88 | $52.80 |
| 09-08 05:41 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.979 | $643.99 |
| 09-08 05:41 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.979 | $1.1k |
| 09-08 05:41 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.98 | $195.33 |
| 09-08 05:41 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.98 | $217.36 |
| 09-08 05:40 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | SELL | 0.98 | $49.87 |
| 09-08 05:40 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.63 |
| 09-08 05:39 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.981002337 | $361.01 |
| 09-08 05:39 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.981 | $490.50 |
| 09-08 05:39 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.982 | $86.42 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.946 | $37.84 |
| 07-31 01:37 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.991 | $39.40 |
| 07-30 07:48 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |