PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x834FFdFfce376b19ba618cf23A6EDFd04ac88B6e-1775733450913

0x834ffdffce376b19ba618cf23a6edfd04ac88b6e

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$143.0k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · No0.9370.982$854.61+$39.49
Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? · Yes0.8410.849$351.47+$3.21
NBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27? · No0.9100.974$292.06+$19.05
NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes0.8800.925$37.00+$1.80
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.3780.000$0.00$302.60
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year? · No0.8490.000$0.00$1.4k
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$25.40
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$180.00
Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs0.9120.000$0.00$456.00
China vs. Japan · China0.7600.000$0.00$37.99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$16.20
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$328.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$23.80
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$73.99
Will Darius Acuff Jr. be the 5th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$27.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 08:42Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna GarlandBUY0.89$8.93
09-22 02:50NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?SELL0.9$18.00
09-22 02:49NBA: Bronny James to Play for the Lakers in 2026-27?BUY0.88$52.80
09-08 05:41Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.979$643.99
09-08 05:41NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?SELL0.979$1.1k
09-08 05:41Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.98$195.33
09-08 05:41Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.98$217.36
09-08 05:40NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?SELL0.98$49.87
09-08 05:40Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.981$1.63
09-08 05:39Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.981002337$361.01
09-08 05:39Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.981$490.50
09-08 05:39Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.982$86.42
07-31 06:10Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.946$37.84
07-31 01:37Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?SELL0.991$39.40
07-30 07:48NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?BUY0.94$282.00