0x834c850726dc76b35161a8be21382094c07d657e
0x834c850726dc76b35161a8be21382094c07d657e
- Realised P&L
- $-23.78
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $0.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.024 | $0.24 | −$0.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down | 0.289 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? · No | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Down | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.63at 0.084Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$11.71at 0.219Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$8.72at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$7.84at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$6.51at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:58 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0285714286 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 14:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-22 14:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 22? | BUY | 0.0303797468 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 12:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 11:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.90 |
| 09-21 11:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999717 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 11:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.2324189314 | $2.00 |