0x834b4d8fa58ceaf3e399b8483b27ada161211eb1
0x834b4d8fa58ceaf3e399b8483b27ada161211eb1
- Realised P&L
- $-383.33
- Volume
- $70.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,976
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,976
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ana Daniela García Salgado win the 2027 Baja California Governor Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$1.66 |
| Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.08 | −$0.56 |
| Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.07 |
| Will Royal Sultanate of Eastern Unayan (RSEU) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.74at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$29.38at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$18.88at 0.541Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-08-26?
- +$17.28at 0.792Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
- +$16.68at 0.766Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 10:24 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | SELL | 0.4976849183 | $5.18 |
| 09-05 10:24 | Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-05 10:24 | Will Fernanda Lopes win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 09-05 10:24 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | SELL | 0.49 | $5.10 |
| 09-05 02:05 | Will CD Concepción win on 2026-09-04? | SELL | 0.97 | $5.64 |
| 09-05 02:04 | Will CD Concepción win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.52 |
| 09-05 00:48 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.5599999927 | $3.06 |
| 09-05 00:02 | CA Belgrano vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999836 | $4.99 |
| 09-04 23:33 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-04? | SELL | 0.8887873462 | $5.06 |
| 09-04 23:32 | Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.8949055908 | $5.10 |
| 09-04 22:58 | Will Club ABB vs. FC Universitario end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 21:03 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.72 | $4.13 |
| 09-04 21:02 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4099999197 | $2.35 |
| 09-04 20:54 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 09-04 20:49 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.5999999666 | $3.59 |