PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x834ac1c40c669e7d0811376369b97218918a1b2f

0x834ac1c40c669e7d0811376369b97218918a1b2f

Realised P&L
$-4.54
Volume
$281.15
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$4.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20? · Up0.3600.845$2.35+$1.35
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%? · No0.5000.580$1.16+$0.16
Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%? · No0.8000.790$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 12:26SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-20 04:26Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q3 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 6% to 8%?BUY0.8$1.00
10-19 20:26United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?BUY0.5$1.00
10-18 12:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-15 12:36S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-15 04:35SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-14 20:34Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-13 23:02Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-13 14:59Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-10 18:48Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-07 20:02Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-07 12:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-07 04:01Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-24 20:03Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-24 12:02Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.549999945$1.00