seanbc
0x8348e180a305dd0b7d80e9da934d9723b11b5226
- Realised P&L
- $-106.78
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $213.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.28at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 12?
- +$56.38at 0.304Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?
- +$13.61at 0.685Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 28?
- +$7.14at 0.218Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 21?
- +$4.88at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 03:05 | Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.2746268657 | $9.57 |
| 10-07 22:31 | Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.88 | $15.02 |
| 10-07 22:31 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 10-07 18:37 | Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.927465 | $18.55 |
| 10-07 18:37 | Will the PQ win 55-59 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.898442768 | $17.27 |
| 10-07 10:32 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $12.48 |
| 10-07 04:04 | Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.811 | $10.26 |
| 10-06 06:10 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.90 |
| 10-05 08:31 | Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election? | BUY | 0.842 | $21.05 |
| 10-05 08:30 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.82 |
| 10-04 15:47 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.75 |
| 10-04 12:05 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $51.35 |
| 10-04 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 11:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |