0x8343f9caf6a799146c125c88ffe0a9d5b29665d1
- Realised P&L
- $-34.08
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $25.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.750 | 1.000 | $15.07 | +$3.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.035 | $2.50 | +$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.020 | $1.89 | −$1.89 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $1.67 | −$0.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.025 | $1.23 | +$0.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.006 | $1.17 | −$0.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.050 | $0.95 | +$0.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $0.64 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $0.39 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.030 | $0.30 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.04at 0.151LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$15.22at 0.540LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
- +$14.36at 0.170LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winner
- +$12.74at 0.292LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG - Game 2 Winner
- +$9.64at 0.251LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:46 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.82 | $20.50 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $11.31 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-17 15:50 | Manchester City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-17 15:49 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-17 15:49 | Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-17 15:13 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-17 12:39 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.4649333333 | $13.95 |
| 09-17 12:32 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 09-17 12:28 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 12:27 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 10:52 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |