xantham
0x833f5690bd4609bd4679f8973666b1c0e9599557
- Realised P&L
- $-296.82
- Volume
- $120.4k
- Markets traded
- 465
- Open portfolio
- $17.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded465
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.86at 0.070US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
- +$97.53at 0.414Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$93.00at 0.070US bank failure by January 31?
- +$89.35at 0.653Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$66.77at 0.130Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 23:10 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239999999 | $1.39 |
| 09-11 23:08 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.047181054 | $1.46 |
| 09-04 12:29 | US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0491279784 | $1.52 |
| 09-04 12:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.57 |
| 09-01 18:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.23 |
| 08-30 22:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | SELL | 0.0171597136 | $1.94 |
| 08-30 22:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.40 |
| 08-30 22:02 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.0162656081 | $1.20 |
| 08-30 21:33 | Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 08-30 21:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.0389999815 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 20:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 20:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.0088379996 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.10 |
| 08-26 18:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 27? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |