snider
0x833d211228440d1530b4da758fd472b0bc97e832
- Realised P&L
- $153.32
- Volume
- $17.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $6.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · No | 0.890 | 0.840 | $3.78 | −$0.22 |
| GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch · No | 0.910 | 0.885 | $2.43 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.62at 0.517Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5
- +$95.60at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET
- +$1.02at 0.916Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.47at 0.690Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$0.32at 0.760Will Karoline Leavitt say AI/Artificial Intelligence during next White House press briefing?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 15:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.403 | $2.24 |
| 09-23 15:28 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.19 |
| 09-23 15:28 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.51 |
| 06-25 16:19 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 18:28 | GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch | BUY | 0.9099999854 | $2.50 |
| 06-20 18:26 | Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999996 | $159.20 |
| 06-10 20:41 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 18:44 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $11.00 |
| 06-10 18:37 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5267080738 | $12.00 |
| 06-10 18:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | SELL | 0.117 | $491.60 |
| 06-10 18:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | BUY | 0.1189999998 | $500.00 |
| 02-18 15:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.896999983 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 15:29 | Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | BUY | 0.959999904 | $4.00 |
| 02-18 15:28 | Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be less than 50? | BUY | 0.9849999967 | $3.00 |
| 02-18 15:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.00 |