0x8337E17b140950876310506CD48A8aEd91902827-1773502871970
0x8337e17b140950876310506cd48a8aed91902827
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $65.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,643
- Open portfolio
- $16.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,643
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.32at 0.237Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$14.49at 0.713Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on May 30?
- +$13.22at 0.738Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 24?
- +$12.88at 0.892Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 3?
- +$12.64at 0.579Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:00 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 11-01 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4975 | $9.95 |
| 11-01 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-31 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.4875 | $9.75 |
| 10-31 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-30 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30? | BUY | 0.486 | $9.72 |
| 10-29 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 00:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.4875 | $9.75 |
| 10-28 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.495 | $9.90 |
| 10-28 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.4975 | $9.95 |
| 10-28 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 10-27 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-27 07:59 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |