NINJA31
0x832bd1aa9ad82810d14eea9bd56238b8ec6a86ee
- Realised P&L
- $-527.47
- Volume
- $79.1k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $21.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.95at 0.023Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7?
- +$19.09at 0.227Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?
- +$18.12at 0.045Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?
- +$13.71at 0.050Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
- +$12.21at 0.038Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 22:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.23 |
| 10-08 22:16 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.55 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.0226546492 | $14.95 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.0180633818 | $4.97 |
| 10-08 18:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in October? | BUY | 0.0192157108 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 16:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.50 |
| 10-08 11:35 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.39275 | $15.71 |
| 10-07 02:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0134618289 | $7.13 |
| 10-06 02:47 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 17:53 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-29 11:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0169999999 | $1.41 |
| 09-29 11:46 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0053417121 | $0.30 |
| 09-29 11:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.20 |
| 09-27 21:58 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0289999999 | $1.65 |
| 09-27 21:54 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.73 |