PolyBot

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Traders

keithvega

0x83245b7f95c191a2e8a1a343464f2f4e725b42ef

Realised P&L
$-62.16
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$20.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? · Yes0.6100.465$20.93$6.53
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 19? · No0.7400.000$0.00$11.14
CA Barracas Central vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 4.5 Corners · Under0.5500.000$0.00$24.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:36Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.999$11.04
01-30 15:40Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9979999134$10.99
01-30 14:57Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$23.33
01-30 13:02Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$15.24
12-30 12:44Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$2.46
12-30 12:32Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?BUY0.998$5.04
12-30 12:25Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9979999606$11.86
12-29 19:15Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.998$8.01
12-29 19:08Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$32.20
10-31 00:10Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$13.76
10-30 21:42Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.995$11.35
10-30 17:51Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?BUY0.999$13.43
09-29 10:06Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.9979999455$16.00
09-28 23:01Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995$16.14
09-28 21:11Xi Jinping out before October?BUY0.9989999619$11.55