Lavo
0x8320691a96ec7d94fe72e5d5ec22831739ca94eb
- Realised P&L
- $-68.29
- Volume
- $30.4k
- Markets traded
- 719
- Open portfolio
- $4.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded719
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.880 | 1.000 | $4.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.57at 0.510Eagles vs. Packers
- +$82.69at 0.034Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
- +$45.11at 0.470Chargers vs. Cowboys
- +$42.50at 0.320Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2025-12-12?
- +$39.68at 0.540Spread: Packers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.00 |
| 09-30 15:50 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.00 |
| 09-25 15:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 16:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 16:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5781037872 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.5135802165 | $4.00 |
| 03-11 06:14 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.71 | $11.91 |
| 03-03 11:59 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.6999999881 | $11.74 |
| 02-27 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | BUY | 0.9665954345 | $14.24 |
| 02-22 12:57 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22? | BUY | 0.8899999937 | $9.92 |
| 02-19 06:09 | Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.68 | $9.50 |
| 02-14 11:01 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | BUY | 0.4199999888 | $13.45 |
| 02-14 11:00 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14? | BUY | 0.25 | $19.00 |
| 02-12 15:15 | Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.1299999888 | $9.42 |
| 02-12 15:13 | Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.6 | $9.72 |