PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x831dC836760779Fad5fd5E3B06e98d6ddAE91388-1760250528620

0x831dc836760779fad5fd5e3b06e98d6ddae91388

Realised P&L
$-291.26
Volume
$78.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$21.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.001$21.72$282.36
Stars vs. Blues · Stars0.5200.000$0.00$5.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-16 11:58Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in January?BUY0.985$295.50
10-20 09:26Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?SELL0.968$2.6k
10-16 09:06Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.997$2.7k
10-16 09:06Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?SELL0.997$2.7k
10-15 15:30Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.998$2.7k
10-14 10:26Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.982$2.2k
10-14 10:26Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.99$2.7k
10-13 06:44Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$2.7k
10-13 06:44Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?SELL0.991$2.7k
10-12 07:03Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?BUY0.993$2.7k