0x83198a8ecda7bfcb69dd8648a8385259b4c2d69b
0x83198a8ecda7bfcb69dd8648a8385259b4c2d69b
- Realised P&L
- $-35.88
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $13.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.23at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?
- +$4.88at 0.673Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.36at 0.674Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30?
- +$2.06at 0.831China Open: Maria Sakkari vs Storm Hunter
- +$1.41at 0.783UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 07:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 04:50 | Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.0359999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:50 | Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 04:49 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:35 | Trail Blazers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:35 | Trail Blazers vs. Kings | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9689999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-07 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0546357615 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0929999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9729999981 | $3.00 |