PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x83198a8ecda7bfcb69dd8648a8385259b4c2d69b

0x83198a8ecda7bfcb69dd8648a8385259b4c2d69b

Realised P&L
$-35.88
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$13.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.9000.875$4.86−$0.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? · Yes0.6000.595$2.98−$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? · No0.3900.405$2.08+$0.08
Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.085$1.21+$0.21
Will AEK win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.0360.038$1.07+$0.07
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20? · Yes0.2300.205$0.89−$0.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20? · Yes0.2000.175$0.88−$0.13
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 9? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 9? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 9? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 30? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on September 22? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 07:31Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 20?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-20 07:31Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.2$1.00
10-20 07:31Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?BUY0.3899999337$2.00
10-20 07:30Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?BUY0.6$3.00
10-18 04:50Will AEK win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.0359999997$1.00
10-18 04:50Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-18 04:49Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.9$5.00
10-08 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-08 07:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.8199999836$3.00
10-07 07:35Trail Blazers vs. KingsBUY0.6899999425$3.00
10-07 07:35Trail Blazers vs. KingsBUY0.64$3.00
10-07 07:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.9689999993$10.00
10-07 07:28Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.0546357615$3.00
10-07 07:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.0929999928$1.00
10-07 07:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?BUY0.9729999981$3.00