GIgatrader123
0x831244f85fbbf0b8a4b4a03680dc25f198ea619f
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $49.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $51.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.510 | 0.645 | $50.59 | +$10.59 |
| Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.61 | −$0.36 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.254Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$524.35at 0.314Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$317.65at 0.006Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
- +$49.20at 0.168Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$7.67at 0.797Reds vs. Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5099999971 | $40.00 |
| 10-25 23:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.939 | $2.4k |
| 10-25 23:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9371110227 | $894.72 |
| 10-25 22:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | SELL | 0.2506328233 | $325.13 |
| 10-25 22:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.702 | $1.8k |
| 10-25 21:27 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.343141015 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 20:18 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2772569925 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 20:13 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3289776046 | $400.00 |
| 10-25 20:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3496503497 | $100.00 |
| 10-25 20:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2990583518 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 20:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2479821328 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 16:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.4k |
| 10-25 12:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.21 | $400.00 |
| 10-25 00:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-25 00:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1766930664 | $100.00 |