0x830d3949cace6f75c8ce6a547ef3b2e20f2a74a5
0x830d3949cace6f75c8ce6a547ef3b2e20f2a74a5
- Realised P&L
- $36.66
- Volume
- $552.17
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $16.99
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$6.62at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:16 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2533248892 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 06:01 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:54 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.689999862 | $1.15 |
| 09-20 11:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 02:55 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 11:10 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 03:02 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 18:46 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 01:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 07:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |