PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

vbm

0x8304ada4e1747a1d188d7233b5c047dfce42f086

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$527.7k
Markets traded
3,503
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,503
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.6700.950$465.50+$137.30
US x China Military clash before 2027? · No0.8970.974$292.04+$23.05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8680.895$257.80+$7.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9030.954$247.91+$13.11
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8840.972$241.62+$21.76
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7680.940$236.69+$43.33
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8350.935$215.05+$22.95
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.7720.945$188.99+$34.50
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.7050.900$180.20+$39.07
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? · No0.5080.795$166.07+$59.94
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9150.969$154.96+$8.56
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.8570.899$125.93+$5.97
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9160.955$124.14+$5.05
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.9140.959$121.72+$5.72
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.7260.915$121.08+$24.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:25Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.65$13.00
09-15 16:25RFK Jr. Out by December 31?BUY0.84$25.20
09-15 16:25Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.74$14.80
09-15 16:25Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.987$19.74
09-15 16:24Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60?BUY0.984$9.84
09-15 16:24Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?SELL0.97321$29.20
09-15 16:24Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?SELL0.984$29.52
09-15 16:23Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.974$47.73
09-15 16:23Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.65$13.00
09-15 16:23Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.87$17.40
09-15 16:23Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.87$26.10
09-15 16:21Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.974$19.48
09-15 16:17Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.026$1.04
09-15 16:16Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?SELL0.993$19.86
09-15 16:16Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.992$19.84