0x8304123Dd255e78dDC9b76810ed6c9e8d2774E7b-1772787658259
0x8304123dd255e78ddc9b76810ed6c9e8d2774e7b
- Realised P&L
- $7.21
- Volume
- $27.8k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $638.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $0.50? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $638.68 | +$0.32 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 in July? · No | 0.986 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.59at 0.971Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in June?
- +$10.80at 0.940Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?
- +$9.38at 0.986Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$7.38at 0.990Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?
- +$7.02at 0.990Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of April 13 above $175?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 06:04 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $638.36 |
| 09-15 07:12 | Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989286479 | $42.00 |
| 09-15 07:10 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 09-15 07:09 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $150 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $117.69 |
| 09-10 05:44 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $5.00? | BUY | 0.9989010988 | $303.00 |
| 09-03 06:43 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $132.87 |
| 09-03 06:42 | Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $129.76 |
| 09-03 06:41 | Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.72 |
| 09-03 05:59 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $216.37 |
| 08-24 09:17 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $298.80 |
| 08-18 07:25 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $1.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.89 |
| 08-18 07:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $78.92 |
| 08-18 07:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $105.89 |
| 08-10 11:07 | Will Solana reach $150 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.73 |
| 08-04 06:43 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |