arrrrpadex
0x830367b525cbd53c097521bb1c2b03d75386c5c2
- Realised P&L
- $-12.31
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $750.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant: Assists O/U 4.5 · No | 0.414 | 0.430 | $85.96 | +$3.12 |
| Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5 · No | 0.439 | 0.515 | $71.01 | +$10.42 |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 · No | 0.437 | 0.475 | $64.97 | +$5.13 |
| LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5 · No | 0.436 | 0.440 | $45.76 | +$0.44 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 6.5 · No | 0.426 | 0.645 | $43.25 | +$14.69 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 12.5 · No | 0.450 | 0.705 | $41.02 | +$14.84 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5 · No | 0.450 | 0.465 | $35.80 | +$1.16 |
| Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5 · No | 0.410 | 0.405 | $32.40 | −$0.40 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 11.5 · No | 0.420 | 0.705 | $28.20 | +$11.40 |
| Brandon Miller: Points O/U 24.5 · No | 0.530 | 0.530 | $25.26 | +$0.00 |
| Tyrese Haliburton: Points O/U 18.5 · No | 0.460 | 0.505 | $20.57 | +$1.83 |
| Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5 · No | 0.460 | 0.720 | $14.40 | +$5.20 |
| Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5 · No | 0.500 | 0.705 | $14.10 | +$4.10 |
| Franz Wagner: Assists O/U 4.5 · No | 0.414 | 0.405 | $13.62 | −$0.30 |
| Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 3.5 · No | 0.414 | 0.435 | $13.30 | +$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.450Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 4.5
- +$0.00at 0.380Tyler Herro: Points O/U 21.5