PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x830115489f0ed5a334655c708492388EA3E2B030-1768825413500

0x830115489f0ed5a334655c708492388ea3e2b030

Realised P&L
$57.45
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
735
Open portfolio
$24.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded735
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes0.9000.945$6.30+$0.30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7700.920$5.98+$0.98
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9160.913$4.98$0.02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6060.431$3.56$1.44
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3800.455$2.39+$0.39
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · LG Twins0.5300.270$1.02$0.98
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.5600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5910.000$0.00$18.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$10.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$7.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 09:17Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.8299999613$3.00
09-15 08:47Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.8299999613$3.00
09-15 08:17Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.8299999613$3.00
09-13 20:02Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9$6.00
09-13 20:02Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.9739999973$5.00
09-13 20:01Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.7699999399$5.00
09-12 12:22Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?SELL0.82$5.18
09-12 12:22Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.993$10.10
09-12 12:22Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.97$5.09
09-08 15:38Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.589999941$4.00
09-08 15:38Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6699999611$5.00
09-08 15:38Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.8$5.00
09-08 15:37Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
09-05 14:14Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.5699999059$2.00
09-05 14:14Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.4599999595$5.00