Distrito
0x82ff57537de3457c67117df2d403c15ff9ce2fff
- Realised P&L
- $-864.17
- Volume
- $63.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $573.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.042 | $573.53 | +$230.78 |
| Spread: Barcelona (-1.5) · Atletico Madrid | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.27 |
| Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31? · Yes | 0.618 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.143 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down | 0.354 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-11-27? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up | 0.525 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.70 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.66at 0.430Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?
- +$48.04at 0.370Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
- +$22.46at 0.800Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?
- +$18.95at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$15.11at 0.589Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:58 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.040052 | $4.01 |
| 11-01 19:40 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.042 | $36.08 |
| 10-15 15:44 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.65 | $112.39 |
| 10-15 02:30 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | SELL | 0.64 | $106.32 |
| 09-21 19:58 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.5768781668 | $195.58 |
| 09-18 16:08 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.014 | $71.86 |
| 09-12 05:25 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0141467978 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 23:53 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.018 | $21.23 |
| 08-24 21:51 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0285299345 | $38.93 |
| 08-20 17:57 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0349999993 | $46.16 |
| 08-18 13:52 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $35.00 |
| 08-18 13:49 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.039 | $99.84 |
| 08-15 16:03 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0389999949 | $7.65 |
| 08-15 16:00 | Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.0389999994 | $60.00 |
| 03-22 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.517109752 | $28.77 |