kingxg
0x82fad94d62962c894eaf0b8f9fbfa9516b646805
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $116.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $194.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.071 | $193.98 | −$668.46 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.39 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · No | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.33at 0.840Bitcoin above $65,000 on June 28?
- +$1.13at 0.400Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$0.85at 0.540Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
- +$0.53at 0.850Abstract token launch by January 31?
- +$0.16at 0.864Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 02:29 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $42.19 |
| 04-16 21:01 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.6k |
| 04-10 05:33 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $143.00 |
| 04-10 05:33 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $440.00 |
| 04-10 05:32 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.022 | $2.20 |
| 02-27 02:36 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.317449785 | $1.0k |
| 10-08 15:22 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7299997465 | $2.39 |
| 10-08 15:21 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.13 |
| 08-06 06:48 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 14:48 | Ripple ETF approved in 2025? | BUY | 0.8639993226 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 09:55 | Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-31 15:19 | Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | BUY | 0.0479999779 | $2.00 |
| 05-06 19:22 | Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 13:42 | Litecoin ETF approved by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 01-11 10:05 | Abstract token launch by January 31? | BUY | 0.8499999717 | $3.00 |