PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

kingxg

0x82fad94d62962c894eaf0b8f9fbfa9516b646805

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$116.0k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$194.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.3170.071$193.98$668.46
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$2.39
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.2k
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · No0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 02:29Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.011$42.19
04-16 21:01Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.019$1.6k
04-10 05:33Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$143.00
04-10 05:33Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$440.00
04-10 05:32Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$2.20
02-27 02:36Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.317449785$1.0k
10-08 15:22Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?BUY0.7299997465$2.39
10-08 15:21Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL0.85$2.13
08-06 06:48Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY0.4$1.00
08-01 14:48Ripple ETF approved in 2025?BUY0.8639993226$1.00
07-10 09:55Pump.fun market cap (FDV) <$4B one day after launch?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
05-31 15:19Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?BUY0.0479999779$2.00
05-06 19:22Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.7$1.00
02-23 13:42Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?BUY0.54$1.00
01-11 10:05Abstract token launch by January 31?BUY0.8499999717$3.00