BruiseViolet
0x82ef24f0cb674e940c162d9c6a753b2df4ba5bdf
- Realised P&L
- $-40.14
- Volume
- $450.40
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $16.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.153 | 0.055 | $16.39 | −$29.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.500Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$-2.84at 0.241Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?
- +$-3.19at 0.166Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 23:46 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1174920447 | $21.55 |
| 04-18 19:27 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.80 |
| 04-18 19:26 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T? | SELL | 0.0779167822 | $2.81 |
| 04-18 18:29 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.16 |
| 03-31 15:51 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.16 |
| 03-31 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 15:45 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2047956175 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 04:46 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? | BUY | 0.2411963338 | $4.00 |
| 03-21 04:45 | Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T? | BUY | 0.1663947591 | $6.00 |
| 03-21 04:22 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 04:12 | Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |