MovieMakerBoy
0x82ed1e5df87419152fcf14d1ae44623140a528c7
- Realised P&L
- $-48.29
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $65.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.370 | $22.20 | −$1.60 |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? · No | 0.740 | 0.725 | $14.50 | −$0.30 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.635 | $12.70 | −$2.10 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? · No | 0.590 | 0.630 | $12.60 | +$0.80 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.053 | $3.92 | −$29.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.41at 0.620Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
- +$5.60at 0.522Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
- +$0.61at 0.620UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
- +$-6.88at 0.650Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$-8.35at 0.493Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 21:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 07-21 16:53 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 07-21 16:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $6.50 |
| 07-20 22:56 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 07-20 15:36 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $6.01 |
| 07-20 13:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 07-19 08:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $8.57 |
| 07-16 18:33 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 07-10 19:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 07-04 10:03 | Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |
| 07-04 10:03 | Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? | SELL | 0.991 | $36.25 |
| 07-03 15:16 | Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? | SELL | 0.33 | $16.50 |
| 07-03 15:16 | Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-03 08:27 | Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-03 08:27 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.37 | $22.20 |