PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MovieMakerBoy

0x82ed1e5df87419152fcf14d1ae44623140a528c7

Realised P&L
$-48.29
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$65.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? · Yes0.3970.370$22.20−$1.60
Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? · No0.7400.725$14.50−$0.30
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? · No0.7400.635$12.70−$2.10
Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)? · No0.5900.630$12.60+$0.80
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4500.053$3.92−$29.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 21:57Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.46$46.00
07-21 16:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.45$45.00
07-21 16:34Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.5$6.50
07-20 22:56Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.64$64.00
07-20 15:36UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?SELL0.69$6.01
07-20 13:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.32$32.00
07-19 08:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.33$8.57
07-16 18:33Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.54$54.00
07-10 19:04Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.6$60.00
07-04 10:03Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?SELL0.003$0.20
07-04 10:03Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?SELL0.991$36.25
07-03 15:16Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?SELL0.33$16.50
07-03 15:16Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?SELL0.66$33.00
07-03 08:27Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?SELL0.3$15.00
07-03 08:27Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?SELL0.37$22.20