Umtsvg
0x82e9a6e87f73cb98725533305024f0d06021ef2c
- Realised P&L
- $-284.54
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $23.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.125 | $17.11 | +$7.11 |
| Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.036 | $3.65 | −$6.35 |
| Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.055 | $2.30 | −$3.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-303.12at 0.472Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.1499999988 | $6.28 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 18:11 | Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | BUY | 0.0730593607 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 17:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $14.17 |
| 09-13 20:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $198.42 |
| 09-10 08:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999998 | $493.92 |