xdlol69
0x82d98ef7db1f6fc2b63ce7da378e17bcfe8ca600
- Realised P&L
- $-813.61
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $70.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.021 | $70.01 | −$114.03 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5 · Under | 0.499 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.08at 0.360Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osaka
- +$91.03at 0.350Forca Lleida CE vs. Joventut
- +$84.15at 0.290Cruzeiro EC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
- +$84.05at 0.425Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
- +$73.27at 0.470FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-25 10:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $9.63 |
| 03-25 10:15 | Miami Open: Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova | BUY | 0.5074489796 | $9.95 |
| 03-25 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $9.50 |
| 03-25 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $9.50 |
| 03-25 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $9.30 |
| 03-25 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $9.31 |
| 03-25 10:05 | Frederico Ferreira Silva vs. Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 16:24 | Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 10:44 | Sharks vs. Predators | BUY | 0.57 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 10:44 | Sharks vs. Predators | BUY | 0.57 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 10:44 | Sharks vs. Predators | BUY | 0.57 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 10:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $8.35 |
| 03-24 10:43 | Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 09:46 | Spread: Islanders (-1.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $9.80 |
| 03-24 09:46 | Capitals vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $9.80 |