0x82d882413334a86b9839d8cb7d279ff5d71cb798
0x82d882413334a86b9839d8cb7d279ff5d71cb798
- Realised P&L
- $1.11
- Volume
- $183.40
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $2.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.220 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.185 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.065 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.105 | $0.13 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $8B by August 31?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.534US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:11 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:04 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.8199994588 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:02 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 15:32 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 13? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 18:24 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 09:39 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 01:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:49 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:36 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 08:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |