PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x82d11eaee47383a8fadbbdb46cf595904c54880e

Realised P&L
$22.12
Volume
$233.29
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$1.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9900.130$1.31$8.69
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 21:47Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.241$5.10
07-18 21:47Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
07-02 21:17Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.99$5.00
07-02 21:17Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027?BUY0.99$5.00
07-02 20:05Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4719999902$10.00
07-01 23:35Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7199999989$51.69
06-25 21:20Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.78$40.00
12-22 20:09Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
12-17 17:36No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699998691$5.00
12-17 16:55No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699998691$5.00
12-12 21:18No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699999815$20.00