0x82d11eaee47383a8fadbbdb46cf595904c54880e
- Realised P&L
- $22.12
- Volume
- $233.29
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.130 | $1.31 | −$8.69 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.15at 0.733Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$10.62at 0.793Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$8.96at 0.770No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$0.19at 0.981Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$-5.40at 0.484Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 21:47 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.241 | $5.10 |
| 07-18 21:47 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 21:17 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 21:17 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 20:05 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4719999902 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 23:35 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7199999989 | $51.69 |
| 06-25 21:20 | Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.78 | $40.00 |
| 12-22 20:09 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 12-17 17:36 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 12-17 16:55 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699998691 | $5.00 |
| 12-12 21:18 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7699999815 | $20.00 |