0x82c050ca805a6136aad4093525506e66851b315a
- Realised P&L
- $-343.51
- Volume
- $99.9k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $80.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.660 | $24.44 | +$4.44 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.513 | 0.540 | $21.05 | +$1.05 |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.160 | $18.40 | −$11.60 |
| Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? · No | 0.711 | 0.585 | $16.37 | −$3.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.26at 0.269Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$24.24at 0.597Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$20.97at 0.059US strike on Cuba by March 31?
- +$19.82at 0.330Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$15.67at 0.370Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:36 | Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.7109999932 | $19.89 |
| 09-01 21:43 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 02:31 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.59 |
| 08-31 18:56 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1667827475 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 18:55 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5129999977 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 02:48 | Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 22:51 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | SELL | 0.91 | $20.45 |
| 08-29 23:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4006557709 | $23.78 |
| 08-25 16:58 | Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | SELL | 0.2977541326 | $15.67 |
| 08-25 10:21 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 10:19 | Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 21:59 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 21:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3369999832 | $20.00 |
| 08-22 21:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.62 | $19.38 |
| 08-20 15:53 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.355942241 | $10.00 |