PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x82bbe9ff53250ab09a781bc33a10a211598fa884

0x82bbe9ff53250ab09a781bc33a10a211598fa884

Realised P&L
$279.35
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
173
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded173
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 15:29Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 500k?BUY0.8699999996$70.00
09-26 15:28Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?SELL0.89$42.78
09-26 15:28Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.9419813543$28.80
09-26 13:36Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k?BUY0.9099999998$115.00
09-26 13:35Will “Confessions II – The Film” by Madonna win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?SELL0.9644063498$108.75
09-26 11:58Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k?BUY0.9099999998$250.00
09-26 11:56Will Madonna win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?SELL0.6984005376$41.57
09-26 01:17Will “Aperture” by Harry Styles win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?SELL0.999$54.94
09-26 01:16Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 122m by October 31?BUY0.9099999991$50.00
09-26 01:04Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.9299999971$19.50
09-26 01:03Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k?BUY0.9$300.00
09-26 01:03Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 700k?BUY0.94$500.00
09-25 13:47Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 600k?BUY0.8$30.00
09-25 11:58Will "Patient Zero" hit 90m first week streams?BUY0.96$13.70
09-25 11:57Will "Patient Zero" hit 100m first week streams?BUY0.96$7.10