PolyBot

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Traders

0x82b9567c67752086a9c29cc11ad22a242b53ab3a

0x82b9567c67752086a9c29cc11ad22a242b53ab3a

Realised P&L
$-14.31
Volume
$89.11
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$3.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.7200.996$1.38+$0.38
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7400.670$0.91−$0.09
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes0.8000.715$0.89−$0.11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.2700.045$0.17−$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 03:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-08 19:12Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-08 04:30Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-03 04:35Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?BUY0.8$1.00
10-02 09:29Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-01 15:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.78$1.00
09-29 00:25Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-26 10:38Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.8$1.00
09-25 10:08Trump renames AI by September 30?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-25 02:06Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-24 15:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-24 15:56Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
08-19 17:43Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.3904684769$2.29
08-17 21:07Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.419999967$2.29
08-17 11:48Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.6799999604$2.06