0x82b9567c67752086a9c29cc11ad22a242b53ab3a
0x82b9567c67752086a9c29cc11ad22a242b53ab3a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.31
- Volume
- $89.11
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $3.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Up | 0.720 | 0.996 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.670 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.715 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.045 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.560Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?
- +$0.98at 0.700US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.679Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 17 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 03:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:12 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:35 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 15:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:06 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:56 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 17:43 | Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.3904684769 | $2.29 |
| 08-17 21:07 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.419999967 | $2.29 |
| 08-17 11:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $69 Week of August 17 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999604 | $2.06 |