0x82b88696bf179EE863B8Ad357253E7238Ea877C7-1781776561387
0x82b88696bf179ee863b8ad357253e7238ea877c7
- Realised P&L
- $-52.51
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $20.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.97at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$8.19at 0.526Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$8.06at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$6.22at 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.64at 0.154Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 14:38 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.65 |
| 09-05 10:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999732 | $4.93 |
| 09-05 10:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999939 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 15:00 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:27 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2079998486 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 13:38 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3529997953 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 11:59 | Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea? | SELL | 0.1057168459 | $0.88 |
| 08-29 19:41 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3969999099 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 19:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-29 19:24 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.271 | $0.75 |
| 08-29 15:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999633 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 15:12 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.24 |
| 08-29 15:12 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $2.23 |
| 08-29 15:12 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.875 | $6.13 |
| 08-29 15:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.72 |