PolyBot

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Traders

ItaiB

0x82b601f9d06bf22e316869bf2c31ca7f6d425a2e

Realised P&L
$-210.68
Volume
$29.6k
Markets traded
317
Open portfolio
$229.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded317
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 19? · Yes0.8170.920$48.76+$5.46
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.2800.240$25.92$4.32
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 21? · Yes0.8000.830$20.75+$0.75
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.4610.095$20.42$78.63
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3120.215$16.46$7.45
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26? · Yes0.0150.013$16.14$2.81
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2020.115$11.50$8.68
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.225$11.25$0.75
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.6500.335$10.05$9.45
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.055$7.15$12.35
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22? · Yes0.2800.160$5.76$4.32
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21? · Yes0.4900.525$5.25+$0.35
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4710.190$4.94$7.30
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? · Yes0.5000.475$4.75$0.25
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.7000.460$4.06$2.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 10:50Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 22?BUY0.28$10.08
09-17 18:33Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.027$1.05
09-17 18:13Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.026$1.04
09-17 17:15Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.0276$0.69
09-17 17:13Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$0.33
09-17 17:12Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.027$0.40
09-17 17:12Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$0.47
09-17 17:11Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$1.00
09-17 17:11Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$1.00
09-17 17:11Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$1.00
09-17 17:10Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$1.00
09-17 17:10Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$1.00
09-17 17:09Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 26?BUY0.01$0.06
09-17 15:51Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21?BUY0.49$4.90
09-17 15:50Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20?BUY0.5$5.00