PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Coleridge

0x82b3c3632cf4bdf43b1609ef92347c0ba3a77d37

Realised P&L
$-0.24
Volume
$642.33
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$9.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on October 5? · Yes0.9991.000$1.13+$0.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6? · Yes0.9991.000$1.13+$0.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.6650.680$1.12+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 6? · No0.9991.000$1.11+$0.00
Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September? · No0.9980.997$1.10−$0.00
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1? · Yes0.9100.979$1.09+$0.08
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%? · No0.9990.998$1.06−$0.00
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12? · No0.9700.915$0.97−$0.06
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes0.8800.805$0.96−$0.09
Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 47m? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.56
Will Daniel Băluță get at least 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.54
Will $Grass from Columbia University win the MBC Research Competition? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.56
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on January 18? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.54
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.55
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:22WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on October 5?SELL0.996$2.16
10-05 17:21Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17?BUY0.8799998659$1.05
10-05 17:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on October 5?BUY0.999$3.30
10-05 17:19Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12?BUY0.9699999906$1.03
10-05 17:18Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?SELL0.994$5.58
10-05 17:14Will a dozen eggs cost <$1.90 in September?BUY0.998$6.70
10-05 17:13Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?SELL0.996$6.71
10-05 17:12Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?BUY0.999$7.80
10-05 17:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?SELL0.998$6.87
10-05 17:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?BUY0.999$8.00
10-05 17:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 6?SELL0.996$8.86
10-05 17:05Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1?BUY0.9099999279$1.01
10-05 17:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on October 6?BUY0.999$10.00
10-05 17:03Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.664999734$1.10
06-27 03:03Athletics vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.95$1.04