PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zahoris

0x82b178eb67f07dc3aa37338dabfca3ef79f02b4c

Realised P&L
$19.94
Volume
$8.4k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$13.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.235$6.53−$3.47
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? · Yes0.1700.165$4.85−$0.15
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes0.2770.029$2.05−$17.87
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$5.20
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on July 5? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 2? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 15? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 3? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 4? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 10? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$6.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 15? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:17Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0463315095$5.00
09-30 13:02Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1$5.55
09-28 18:03Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.318733563$14.92
09-26 22:21Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.2$5.00
09-26 22:20OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-26 22:20Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
09-26 22:13Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999971$10.00
09-18 15:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18?BUY0.0340089784$1.00
09-14 17:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 15?BUY0.27$1.35
08-01 21:55Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.49$2.45
08-01 12:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?BUY0.49$2.45
07-31 21:55Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1?BUY0.64$3.20
07-31 04:55Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 1?BUY0.63$3.15
07-31 00:10Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 1?BUY0.58$2.90
07-30 12:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?BUY0.48$2.40