zahoris
0x82b178eb67f07dc3aa37338dabfca3ef79f02b4c
- Realised P&L
- $19.94
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 289
- Open portfolio
- $13.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded289
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.12at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 23?
- +$27.52at 0.172Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on February 26?
- +$21.36at 0.461Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$17.25at 0.183Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 24?
- +$10.50at 0.105Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:17 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0463315095 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 13:02 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.55 |
| 09-28 18:03 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.318733563 | $14.92 |
| 09-26 22:21 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 22:20 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 22:20 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 22:13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.0340089784 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 15? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 08-01 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-01 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 07-31 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 07-31 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 07-31 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 07-30 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |