SomeOne45
0x82b166784867f73fbe16a5ccbebf640cb9167579
- Realised P&L
- $-13.6k
- Volume
- $926.5k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $885.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.1kat 0.248Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
- +$5.6kat 0.350Israel military action against Iran in July?
- +$3.3kat 0.800Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
- +$3.2kat 0.316Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.503 Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:12 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4299999998 | $110.73 |
| 10-17 08:43 | Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2989649564 | $20.22 |
| 10-17 08:37 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4399999998 | $500.00 |
| 10-16 09:56 | Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 10-11 18:02 | Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $24.20 |
| 06-08 17:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.349999999 | $174.10 |
| 06-08 16:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999982 | $80.32 |
| 06-08 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2046515421 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $192.13 |
| 06-08 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4877863365 | $507.87 |
| 06-08 16:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999988 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 16:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4341605404 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1466687847 | $200.00 |
| 06-08 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4822566577 | $137.02 |
| 06-08 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4497751857 | $562.98 |