gorgeousfuel
0x82af2899d7cfe87f28935cb996d41b0b835166ae
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $438.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $468.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.005 | $468.80 | −$2.8k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.76 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$231.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.1kat 0.012Will Biden finish his term?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:16 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0320070133 | $105.27 |
| 09-08 19:33 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0191690178 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 19:32 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.01330011 | $275.00 |
| 09-01 05:25 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0370000004 | $4.00 |
| 09-01 05:24 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.028035338 | $452.77 |
| 08-03 17:34 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0478262088 | $250.00 |
| 08-03 17:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0431911892 | $500.00 |
| 07-16 23:38 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.0512790422 | $343.87 |
| 06-28 19:49 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.0010047568 | $26.78 |
| 06-27 20:22 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.1094618198 | $957.76 |
| 01-20 18:42 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.001 | $104.22 |
| 01-20 15:38 | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.0019642529 | $231.88 |
| 01-17 01:04 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.0072498871 | $255.24 |
| 01-02 22:20 | Will Biden finish his term? | BUY | 0.0144735567 | $998.93 |