fractaliz
0x82aed30e16478ce30d1e60b2474c5bfb4ca34325
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $445.0k
- Markets traded
- 337
- Open portfolio
- $1.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded337
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.67at 0.408Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$311.41at 0.574Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
- +$292.22at 0.037Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$239.11at 0.436Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$229.50at 0.730Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 13:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 08:30 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.025 | $11.21 |
| 09-10 08:29 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.22 |
| 09-10 08:29 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $13.69 |
| 09-10 00:06 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | SELL | 0.026 | $28.55 |
| 09-05 06:11 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.0479041916 | $15.00 |
| 09-04 14:08 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.0213577234 | $9.00 |
| 09-04 11:55 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 11:47 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999973 | $8.00 |
| 08-29 12:27 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.65 | $84.33 |
| 08-29 12:27 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3418865741 | $209.73 |
| 08-28 08:12 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6726274496 | $87.27 |
| 08-28 08:01 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4407443651 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 09:33 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 09:12 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |