PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fractaliz

0x82aed30e16478ce30d1e60b2474c5bfb4ca34325

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$445.0k
Markets traded
337
Open portfolio
$1.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded337
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.0490.050$1.02+$0.02
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.280$0.78−$0.22
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? · No0.1180.000$0.00−$147.90
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.10
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$19.99
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Manu Koné: 1+ shots · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Citrea launch a token by June 30, 2026? · No0.0690.000$0.00−$61.72
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 13:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
09-10 08:30Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.025$11.21
09-10 08:29Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.007$6.22
09-10 08:29Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.89$13.69
09-10 00:06Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?SELL0.026$28.55
09-05 06:11Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0479041916$15.00
09-04 14:08Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0213577234$9.00
09-04 11:55Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
09-04 11:47Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.0219999973$8.00
08-29 12:27Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.65$84.33
08-29 12:27Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.3418865741$209.73
08-28 08:12Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6726274496$87.27
08-28 08:01Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4407443651$50.00
08-24 09:33Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.299999997$50.00
08-24 09:12Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.2999999982$100.00