fcck
0x82a7831a37d28175e06f7e9e0ddccaa946edfd43
- Realised P&L
- $-48.73
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 630
- Open portfolio
- $3.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded630
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.00at 0.027Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?
- +$49.00at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 21?
- +$42.59at 0.034Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 26?
- +$38.80at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 17?
- +$36.00at 0.040Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.0952941176 | $1.62 |
| 08-03 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.42 |
| 08-03 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.75 |
| 08-03 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.99 |
| 08-03 14:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-03 07:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.03 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.42 |
| 08-03 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 06:44 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.56 |
| 08-02 14:51 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.46 |