PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fcck

0x82a7831a37d28175e06f7e9e0ddccaa946edfd43

Realised P&L
$26.49
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
703
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded703
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19? · Yes0.1000.072$1.08−$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 19? · Yes0.1020.046$0.68−$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19? · Yes0.1100.015$0.20−$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 18? · Yes0.0160.001$0.05−$1.45
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on October 18? · Yes0.0250.001$0.03−$1.47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 21? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 27? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 15? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 22? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 02:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 19?BUY0.1$1.50
10-19 01:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 19?BUY0.11$0.55
10-18 19:49Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 18?BUY0.016$0.26
10-18 06:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?BUY0.019$1.33
10-18 04:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on October 18?BUY0.0306555288$0.89
10-17 21:53Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 17?BUY0.1$1.50
10-17 21:52Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?BUY0.02$0.03
10-17 11:50Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 17?BUY0.019$0.57
10-17 07:56Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on October 17?BUY0.044$0.48
10-17 06:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 17?BUY0.011$1.38
10-17 04:15Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?BUY0.1$1.14
10-16 20:40Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 16?BUY0.0211054332$1.44
10-16 05:57Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?BUY0.008$1.50
10-15 06:33Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 15?BUY0.012$0.12
10-15 05:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?BUY0.026$0.21