0x82a569A07877DAEf9ac93AD70B8cd64840cC8F69-1768609198161
0x82a569a07877daef9ac93ad70b8cd64840cc8f69
- Realised P&L
- $-6.09
- Volume
- $72.0k
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $156.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$588.35at 0.070Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 14?
- +$420.00at 0.160Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$244.59at 0.112Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
- +$235.71at 0.175Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$225.02at 0.543Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:03 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $80.89 |
| 09-16 19:50 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.1234990863 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 18:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 15:22 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 09-13 11:27 | Will Celtic Glasgow win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.1592039801 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 11:04 | Will Celtic Glasgow win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.3473945384 | $40.00 |
| 09-12 20:14 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 16:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 16:01 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 16:00 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 15:59 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 15:55 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $276.05 |
| 09-12 14:20 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 13:46 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 13:46 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |