innox
0x82a302ec0a362964e70a495422cf3622f8b45f75
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $276.8k
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.819 | 0.861 | $1.2k | +$58.48 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$696.13at 0.821Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?
- +$204.56at 0.261Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$157.74at 0.918Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$130.09at 0.592Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$122.17at 0.718MegaETH FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 12:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9104221587 | $69.00 |
| 07-25 12:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9062146865 | $51.00 |
| 07-25 12:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9006140116 | $70.00 |
| 07-25 12:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9001126107 | $41.00 |
| 07-25 12:00 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8893983662 | $12.00 |
| 07-18 21:47 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8227075862 | $23.86 |
| 07-06 20:59 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.844 | $56.55 |
| 06-05 19:59 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.861 | $4.30 |
| 06-05 19:59 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $27.52 |
| 06-05 19:59 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $15.93 |
| 05-31 02:17 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.929 | $104.05 |
| 05-19 19:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 05-19 19:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $133.00 |
| 05-19 18:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $11.60 |
| 05-19 15:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |