0x829C22564b02e3e0eaa2B932E1a368f0c5A0e098-1769967889415
0x829c22564b02e3e0eaa2b932e1a368f0c5a0e098
- Realised P&L
- $-147.18
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 466
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded466
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$446.12at 0.681Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
- +$160.77at 0.154Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?
- +$159.46at 0.133Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?
- +$151.23at 0.556Spread: Spain (-2.5)
- +$140.74at 0.154Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:25 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $60.00 |
| 10-10 03:56 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999983 | $31.00 |
| 08-30 05:11 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999922 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 05:04 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 05:03 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 08-21 17:09 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $243.34 |
| 08-20 01:44 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5542152016 | $57.33 |
| 07-23 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5994005982 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 03:28 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4292119624 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 03:24 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5887929732 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 09:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5479452055 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6049999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7049999873 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |