PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x829C22564b02e3e0eaa2B932E1a368f0c5A0e098-1769967889415

0x829c22564b02e3e0eaa2b932e1a368f0c5a0e098

Realised P&L
$-147.18
Volume
$50.0k
Markets traded
466
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded466
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $1400.3430.636$1.0k+$482.95
Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3600.210$58.33−$41.67
Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.3300.320$58.18−$1.82
Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2600.155$18.48−$12.52
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.050$5.56−$14.44
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:25Will Ethereum hit $4k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.3299999997$60.00
10-10 03:56Will Ethereum hit $4k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.2599999983$31.00
08-30 05:11Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999922$20.00
08-30 05:04Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999928$20.00
08-30 05:03Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3599999987$100.00
08-21 17:09Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$243.34
08-20 01:44Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5542152016$57.33
07-23 09:25Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5994005982$100.00
07-23 03:28Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4292119624$50.00
07-23 03:24Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5887929732$50.00
07-22 09:58Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5479452055$100.00
07-19 21:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6049999988$10.00
07-19 21:40Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6$10.00
07-19 21:19Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7049999873$10.00
07-19 21:18Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.699999993$20.00