0x829641A28D0AB3876fC39D0713241F0972ccB820-1722215034450
0x829641a28d0ab3876fc39d0713241f0972ccb820
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $79.5k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $7.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.24at 0.333Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$206.64at 0.132Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$112.65at 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$76.01at 0.239CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance
- +$49.59at 0.622SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0617901364 | $5.89 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.21 | $7.35 |
| 11-01 22:08 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 20:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 20:36 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 11-01 20:25 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.113125 | $1.81 |
| 11-01 20:03 | Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0194076882 | $9.70 |
| 11-01 01:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.0263061464 | $8.98 |
| 10-31 20:58 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $6.05 |
| 10-31 20:58 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.007015606 | $17.98 |
| 10-31 13:19 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $28.88 |
| 10-31 10:54 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | BUY | 0.0363772036 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 00:53 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.0737795598 | $155.03 |
| 10-30 23:00 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.0501167812 | $51.07 |