PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x829641A28D0AB3876fC39D0713241F0972ccB820-1722215034450

0x829641a28d0ab3876fc39d0713241f0972ccb820

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$79.5k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$7.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? · No0.0260.021$7.00−$1.98
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.1900.004$0.40−$18.60
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0190.001$0.25−$9.45
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0200.001$0.10−$3.90
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0660.001$0.10−$12.79
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.2060.001$0.08−$31.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.3900.000$0.00−$40.00
Who will finish higher: Perez or Bottas? · Bottas0.3900.000$0.00−$100.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$9.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15
Will NEC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.1040.000$0.00−$30.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:09Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.0617901364$5.89
11-01 22:09Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.21$7.35
11-01 22:08Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.22$22.00
11-01 20:46Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.02$4.00
11-01 20:46Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.07$7.00
11-01 20:36Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.19$19.00
11-01 20:25Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.113125$1.81
11-01 20:03Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.0194076882$9.70
11-01 01:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?BUY0.0263061464$8.98
10-31 20:58US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.011$6.05
10-31 20:58US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.007015606$17.98
10-31 13:19US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.02$28.88
10-31 10:54US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.0363772036$20.00
10-31 00:53Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.0737795598$155.03
10-30 23:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.0501167812$51.07