kobie3
0x828d1dc3586d7aacbc8de4916685690b1453c9a5
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $4.51M
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.966 | 0.988 | $908.55 | +$19.78 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.671 | 0.825 | $847.34 | +$158.42 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.245 | $62.41 | −$87.07 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.450 | $45.00 | +$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.077Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$2.5kat 0.301Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
- +$1.8kat 0.985Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.962MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.853No airdrop in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:36 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8341062141 | $304.70 |
| 09-22 10:42 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.586790579 | $149.48 |
| 09-21 22:01 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7470422535 | $106.08 |
| 09-21 21:57 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-21 20:23 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 09-21 20:17 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $10.43 |
| 09-21 20:16 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $53.72 |
| 09-21 20:16 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-21 20:16 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 09-21 20:16 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-21 19:52 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 09-21 19:45 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 09-21 15:50 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $99.96 |
| 09-21 15:10 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 09-21 12:24 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $104.22 |